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By Kevin O’Neill
The old saw of betting against a team on the road for the first
time with a new coach was tested this past weekend in the NFL.
Of the 10 newbies in the league, 4 of them went on the road,
and they all covered as dogs, with the only one not notching
the outright win being Dick Jauron, who came very close to pulling
off the upset at New England. The new mentors of the Jets, Saints,
and Vikings all hit to the road with big wins. Why would a sensible
strategy like fading a new coach in his first road effort no
longer have value? It might have something to do with the lack
of continuity in the league. 20 of the 32 coaches in the NFL
never coached a game for their team before the 2004 season.
Pointspread grassy knollers screamed bloody murder when it
covered the pointspread, but we’re on board with Niners
coach Mike Nolan’s call to kick a field goal on first
down to cut the Cardinal lead to 34-27. Antonio Bryant caught
a pass from Alex Smith on 4th and 12 down to the 11, but Bryant
picked up a dim-witted personal foul to push it back to the
26. With only 40 seconds left, to try to run plays without
timeouts from there would likely eat up all the time on the
clock. The play from the 26 is to kick the field goal and
then onside kick to try to Hail Mary in the TD (from the 11
it would have been end zone time. Nolan made the correct play
strategically, as it is much more valuable to cut a lead to
7 with 34 seconds left than it is to cut to 3 with 8 or 12
seconds left. The Niners actually mounted a bit of a threat
by recovering the onside kick and throwing into the end zone
twice, but they couldn’t convert. Good move by the sharp
Nolan, and one that more and more coaches are beginning to
get correct.
Boston College, Virginia Tech, and Miami’s exodus to
the ACC was supposed to effectively end the Big East as a
viable football conference, but something interesting is happening.
Louisville, West Virginia, Pitt, and Rutgers are all flying
high with undefeated records. Interestingly, if Louisville
beats Miami, as they are favored to do, all four of the Big
East’s top four will have wins over ACC teams. A case
can be made that as of this moment the Big East is the better
conference, and most power ratings agree.
Tom O’Brien’s a sharp coach, and he coached his
way to a win over a superior team in a multiple OT win over
Clemson on Saturday. Clemson won yardage 490-322 but a kickoff
return for a TD for the Eagles and a blocked extra point in
the second OT secured the win for BC. The ACC office apologized
to Clemson for a block in the back non-call on the kickoff
return. That’s the kind of game that a well-coached
team figures out how to win. But speaking to the modest accomplishments
of the BC football program, that was the first home win over
a Top 25 opponent for the Eagles in the 10 years of the O’Brien
era.
The public likes to bet favorites and overs, so bookies naturally
find themselves often rooting for underdogs and unders. Those
on the other side of the counter likely had a pretty solid
weekend. Discounting pushes, college and NFL underdogs combined
to go 37-28 against the spread and unders were 38-27. The
combined 75-55 mark for what is often the contrary side had
favorite and over players licking their wounds.
Chuck Amato was hailed as the conquering hero when he returned
to his alma mater to rescue NC State football, but things
have gone really sour. Trying to explain away the first BCS
team loss to a MAC opponent since 2004 he claimed Akron’s
admission standards are substandard. In taking cheap shots
against Akron’s academics, he ignored the rampant stupidity
so frequently seen in the actions of his own team. Akron’s
short dive play into the end zone following their full-field
drive likely wouldn’t have happened had players not
run off the NC State bench into the end zone to celebrate
the Wolfpack’s TD with a minute left. When the officials
see guys without helmets in the TD celebration they have no
choice but to throw the flag. Amato and a penalized player
shared a laugh and a handshake following his brief admonishing
of the helmetless player’s action. That had to be galling
to NC State partisans.
For a riposte to Amato’s comments from Akron Beacon-Journal
columnist Terry Pluto visit http://www.ohio.com/mld/ohio/sports/colleges/university_of_akron/15506458.htm.
And for a humorous animated treatment of Amato: http://www.newsobserver.com/1235/story/481010.html.
And while you’re at the Raleigh News-Observer site check
out the fun that animator Grey Blackwell’s has with
Coach K as well.
Huge win for the Buckeyes last Saturday, but what kind of
mindset can they possibly have here? Ohio State is in the
mother of all letdown situations here. Off of their statement
win over Texas, they have Penn State on deck. Those happen
to be the only two teams that beat the Buckeyes last season.
Focus is a significant concern here. The Buckeyes are off
a win in their latest Game of the Century and simply have
bigger fish to fry. Cincinnati has overachieved over the past
couple of years from a wins/losses standpoint. Mark D’Antonio’s
12-13 mark as Cincy coach is impressive, particularly when
you consider how young his team was last season. The Bearcats
started as many as 5 true freshmen on defense at points during
the season. D’Antonio is well thought of in Columbus,
and why shouldn’t he be? After all, he was the defensive
coordinator of the Buckeyes national championship club. Tough
to see Tressel looking to aggressively punch it in if the
Buckeyes are up 27 late. Cincy gave up some big plays against
Pitt, an 80-yard TD pass, a 55-yard TD pass, and a 57-yard
INT return for a TD. While the Bearcats propensity to give
up big plays is a concern against OSU’s sizzling offense
and athletic defense, the questionable focus of OSU and Coach
Tressel’s lack of interest in humiliating D’Antonio
make UC the side here. Take the huge points with the Bearcats.
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The 49ers defense, which allowed 392 yards per game last
year, was lit up by the Cardinals in their opening 34-27 loss.
But Frisco has some pretty good young offensive talent themselves
and there was 760 yards of total offense in that loss. The
Rams game wasn’t as pedestrian as their 18-10 winning
score over the Broncos suggests, as the two clubs combined
for 579 yards of offense but poor work in the red zone and
turnovers led to the teams needing to gain over 20 yards of
offense for every point scored. Both teams figure to be able
to move the ball against one another and we’ll look
for this game to go over the total in Frisco.
Thanks for reading Sports & Gaming News this week. Good
luck and be careful. For a free copy of our 2006 Maximum Profit
Football Annual visit www.FootballAnnual.com
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