By Kevin O’Neill
AND YOU THOUGHT THE SPORTS MEDIA WAS
BAD?
By Kevin O’Neill
www.consumerbet.com
Even though she’s English, Madonna has announced that
she is endorsing Wesley Clark for President of the United
States. Shouldn’t she be endorsing a brand of herpes
symptom control medicine instead?
I learned of the Saddam news about 6:50AM on Sunday morning
when I was working on some NFL stuff. Unsophisticated as I
am, I was excited to hear bout the news that a man who killed
somewhere between 400,000 and 1,000,000 people had been captured.
It quickly became apparent that my enthusiasm was misplaced.
Never let it be said that TV news people don’t work
hard. I’m telling you, those CNN people were making
every effort to let me know why I shouldn’t be happy
about Saddam Hussein being captured Sunday morning. The grimaces,
the furrowed brows, the noting that the demonstrations in
the streets weren’t as big as they could have been.
Here, unrefined little me had thought this was good news,
but the worldly CNN folks were making every effort to let
me know that the news had extraordinary downside.
Funniest moment was when Aaron Brown came on the air and
his grand, dramatic opening line is “from enormous luxury
and wealth to being found in a dingy hole” (I’m
paraphrasing, but it was pretty close to that). Here’s
CNN’s big gun, the best they have, and he leaves the
new viewer thinking that perhaps Paris Hilton had been captured.
The first thing you can say about Saddam is that he lived
in “luxury and wealth”? How about working “torture
and kill” in there?
Strangest moment was ABC’s Terry Moran fretting about
Saddam’s shot at a fair trial, making his case that
the Nazi’s had been “railroaded” in their
trial at Nuremberg. I obviously don’t spend enough time
worrying about the due process of torturers and mass murderers.
If simpletons like me were more aware of the complexity of
such issues I guess we wouldn’t have the need for the
Terry Moran’s of the world to enlighten us of the historical
injustices faced by the Goering, Goebbels, and Himmler types.
Meanwhile, our link of the week examines whether or not the
man caught in Iraq last weekend is really Saddam Hussein,
check it out at http://www.nordog.com/TexCobb.html
. You’re ready to kill the current events and move on
to football now, aren’t you?
Here’s the Dave Wannstedt game management mangling
note of the week. On Monday night, down 7 with Philly in field
goal range on 4th and 2, the Dolphins called time out with
2:05 left. This saved them all of five seconds. In that instance
the play was clearly to let the two-minute warning occur.
The Eagles then kick or miss the FG and there is another clock
stoppage on the change of possession. By calling that time
out Miami saved the five seconds that would have ticked down
from 2:05 to 2:00 and the mandatory clock stoppage. By not
using it, they were forced to allow 24 seconds to elapse between
the first down snap and second down snap when they got the
ball back. The play took about five or six seconds and then
about 18 seconds to spot the ball and get the next play off.
The opportunity cost of the misused timeout was 18 seconds
vs. 5 seconds. The 13 seconds they lost to this misused timeout
didn’t affect the game, but it could have if the Dolphins
recovered the onside kick after they kicked a field goal to
pull within 7.
Although there is an unusual concentration of such game management
problems in Miami, they are certainly not alone. Late in the
second quarter with a 14-7 lead over the Panthers, the Cardinals
were simply trying to get to the half, while the Panthers
called time out to make Arizona punt. The timeouts forced
the Cardinals to the point that with 0:03 they faced 4th down.
Amazingly, the Cards trotted out the punter. While they did
have the wherewithal to kick the ball out of bounds, the opportunity
for a block and return was still there. The proper play in
this instance would be to have the QB take a snap, provide
him max protection, and have him toss the ball over the head
of a receiver on the sideline. That would eat up the clock
and be much safer than a potential blocked punt. The Panthers
were using their timeouts to get a chance to block a punt
and the Cardinals foolishly obliged them. This didn’t
influence the game, but a game management coach who wasn’t
worried about calling plays, substituting, etc. could have
alerted the coaches to the proper call.
We’d like to share a note we received from Michelle
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That’s an offer well worth checking out if you like
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is a beautiful part of the world if you’ve never been
there. Of course unless you ski you may want to hold out until
April or so before you visit. People who deserve to be embarrassed
this week include every New York Giant who didn’t spear
Joe Horn while he was on the phone and TJ Duckett of the Falcons,
who did an end zone dance when he scored a TD to put the Falcons
on the scoreboard after being down 31-0. The Falcons did some
“community outreach” by visiting some soldiers
at Fort McPherson in Georgia this week. Some photos of the
event showed autographs being signed. Remarkably, the Falcons
were signing autographs for the soldiers and not the other
way around.
This is worth looking into. The Cowboys are favored over
the Giants by 10½ to 11 this week, after being a 7½
to 8-point dog on the second Monday night of the season at
the Meadowlands. Has a team ever been both a TD+ dog and a
double-digit favorite to the same opponent in the same season
before?
How important is getting the right numbers for the sports
bettor? Let’s take a look at three consecutive games
on the schedule (schedule items 551-556) this past Saturday
in college hoops:
Arizona opened at –9½ , closed –12, and
beat Marquette by 10.
Temple opened –13, hit –11, and beat Penn State
by 11.
Illinois-Chicago opened –13, went as low as –11,
and won by 12.
These three games were all winnable (or at least pushable)
on each side for good shoppers. But who has their entire day
to sit in front of the computer? Want to bet in the style
of the professional gamblers but without the time commitment?
If you are a subscriber to our free Sports & Gaming News
email newsletter you’ll get a free report entitled Getting
the Best Numbers and Maximum Edges with Minimum Time and Effort.
You can sign up to receive this report as well as our free
weekly information by visiting www.consumerbet.com
and clicking on the “Free Double Offer” icon.
With detailed analysis of each of the remaining 26 bowl games,
our mega-colossal Bowl issue of our weekly newsletter The
Max is going out to subscribers either Friday night or Saturday
morning. Our NFL selections in The Max are now 61-37-6 (62.2%)
against the spread since October of 2002. Subscribe for the
rest of the season and you’ll get every NFL playoff
and college bowl game written up for you, each week’s
Midweek Phone Play, as well as handicapping articles, late
week email updates, free basketball info, and a bunch more
stuff. To celebrate our NFL 62.2% NFL performance over more
than 100 selections, we’re running a special on the
Max for $62.20 through the Super Bowl. But mention Sports
& Gaming News and we’ll take 10% off of that price.
That’s less than $56 through the Super Bowl. Call me
to order at 1-770-649-1078 and we’ll email you this
week’s issue while we’re still on the phone. You’ll
then get the bowl issue over the weekend and next week’s
Max on Monday. We are only taking new subscribers through
halftime of the Monday night game between the Raiders and
Packers. Call 1-770-649-1078 and get ready for a mountain
of solid football information.
Let’s take a look at the game between Florida and West
Virginia in college hoops this Saturday.
This game does not involve a myriad of statistical and situational
factors. But it involves quite a bit of strategy. We consider
West Virginia an underrated team in large part because they
are extremely well coached. Things were a mess in Morgantown
when John Beilein took the job before last season. He has
brought stability and a steady hand to the Mountaineers. On
the other hand, Florida is an impressive collection of talent
that simply isn't playing well together right now. Donovan
is a better program builder and recruiter than tactician.
We'd rather have the well-coached, underrated team with some
solid points. Go with the Mountaineers, and if you’re
looking to receive substantive information on each evening’s
hoops card, call our hotline at 1-770-618-8700.
The Houston Texans have exhibited a stunning lack of offense
in recent weeks. David Carr should be back this Sunday but
his 72.9 QB rating doesn’t suggest that he’ll
turn the Texans into a juggernaut. Without Carr the Texans
haven’t reached 100 yards passing or rushing in three
of the past four weeks. They haven’t notched more than
270 yards of offense in their past eight games, and several
of those games saw Carr in the lineup. But we’d have
a hard time suggesting a play against Houston this week, as
we’re just not in the habit of laying road chalk. The
Texans should get a jolt of energy from Carr’s appearance
and though they won’t put up much in the way of offensive
numbers the defense should play an improved game. With little
offense, a defense likely to play decent ball (Titans QB injuries)
and a conservative game plan designed to avoid mistakes and
keep the clock running against the superior Titans, we’ll
look to the under in Houston today.
Happy Hanukkah to our friends who are celebrating the holiday
starting this weekend.
Our appearances on the web may be somewhat sporadic over
the Christmas holidays. Make sure you don’t miss an
single edition of S&G News by signing up for your no-cost
subscription at http://www.consumerbet.com/email.html.
You’ll get S&G News delivered via email each week.
Kevin O’Neill is the director of content for www.consumerbet.com.
His 24-hour free telephone selection hotline can be accessed
by calling 1-770-618-8700.
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