By Kevin O’Neill
Before we wallow in football, the soon-to-be-deported
Texas Ranger reliever Frank Francisco’s chair toss into
the crowd in Oakland sparked numerous comparisons of fan-player
skirmishes, but there was no mention of possibly the premier
fan fight ever. In the late 1970’s or early 80’s,
a hockey fight between the Bruins and Rangers saw some Madison
Square Garden thugs taking some pokes and grabbing some sticks.
The fan involvement resulted in several Bruins, Terry O’Reilly
and Mike Milbury among them, scaling the boards and heading
into the stands where a Ranger fan was beaten with his own
shoe. Obviously there is a lot less room for sympathy when
a drunken, loutish New Yorker gets his comeuppance compared
to some poor woman bystander getting conked with a chair.
Of course, if I’m a professional heckler, I don’t
see my wife agreeing to go to a lot of games with me, but
that’s just my household.
Virginia’s Marquis Weeks ran a kickoff back for a TD
against North Carolina (whose motto is: “hey, we’re
probably better than Louisiana-Monroe”) and then unleashed
the following doozy of a quote, "That was just instinct.
Kind of like running from the cops, I guess you could say."
They must be proud of their “student-athletes”
in Charlottesville.
The NFL has long prided itself on the concept of parity.
Since the advent of free agency, the NFL has become more and
more unpredictable, and “on any given Sunday”
has become much more than just a cliche. Not just year to
year, with teams routinely going from the penthouse to the
outhouse and visa versa, but week to week as well. With each
passing year, it seems that the collegiate game has fallen
right into step with “big brother” with regard
to its unpredictability. Sure the 85-limit on scholarships
plays a big role, but there are a myriad of reasons that many
universities now get to share in the vast talent pool that
is evident throughout the country. Not the least of which
is the “what’s in for me” attitude of today’s
youth that wants to play NOW, and not sit the bench of one
of the NCAA heavyweights for a year or two. This spreading
of talent from coast to coast is what helps make college football
“NFL lite” on the parity scale.
Lets look at just a few examples from the first two weeks
of the 2004 season. How in the world do you explain perennial
Big 10 doormat Indiana, 2-10 SU in 2003 and 4-13-1 in their
last 18 ATS waltzing into Eugene and knocking off # 24 Oregon
as 3-touchdown underdog at formerly feared Autzen Stadium?
It’s not like Oregon isn’t tough at home. The
Ducks have been nearly unbeatable at home in recent years
in Pac Ten play and since 2000 have also topped foes such
as Wisconsin, Utah, Fresno St., and Michigan on their home
turf. The Ducks dominated the line of scrimmage outgaining
the Hoosiers by 297 yards but seven (!!!) turnovers helped
decide that one. How about Rutgers? The Scarlet Knights kicked
off the 2004 campaign with a big upset win against Michigan
State. How did they follow that up? By losing by 11 to 1-AA
New Hampshire – at home no less. UNH tore up RU with
a redshirt freshman QB who wasn’t even listed in their
media guide. Ricky Santos has completed 78% of his passes
in wins over defending 1-AA champs Delaware and now Rutgers.
There are a lot of 1-A coaches asking their recruiting coordinators
how they missed Santos.
When it comes to the unexpected there is always Notre Dame.
The Irish couldn’t have looked worse in a week 1 loss
to BYU where they amassed a whopping 11 yards rushing. One
week later, here comes # 8 Michigan strutting into South Bend
as a 13-point favorite. What happens? Why of course, the Domers
stir up the echoes and lay a 28-20 whipping on the Wolverines,
who by the way have now dropped their last 5 road openers
SU. Makes sense right? Ty Willingham may have found a gem
in true freshman RB Darrius Walker. The kid didn’t sniff
the pig in the opener, but ripped through the Big Blue for
115 yards on 31 carries and 2 TD’s. Walker went unrecruited
by Georgia coach Marc Richt despite being the Georgia player
of the year in 2003, rushing for state record 46 TD’s
while leading Buford High to 45 consecutive wins and 3 AA
state titles. That gives you a sense as to how deep Georgia
is at running back. This Saturday ND faces off with yet another
nemesis in Michigan State. MSU has been mediocre thus far
the trip to East Lansing will be no cakewalk for the Irish.
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Tough week for the Bowden family. After the horrible off-field
family tragedy they suffered, papa Bobby and Tommy shouldn’t
have had to deal with the most unfathomable losses possible.
It won’t take much longer for good will that Tommy built
up at Clemson at the end of 2003 to be gone and Clemson fans
have been hassling the poor long snapper who shares responsibility
for the nightmarish final minute with a soft offense that
couldn’t get a simple yard in two consecutive plays
after QB Whitehurst slid instead of toughing out a first down.
Clemson was less than stellar in their opener, barely nipping
an average as grits Wake Forest bunch in overtime before giving
away the Georgia Tech game. The Tigers D deserves scorn aplenty
after allowing Tech to score 21 points in the final 4½
minutes to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Look out
for Tech frosh phenom Calvin Johnson who racked up 127 yards
on 8 catches including 3 TD’s. The 6-5 Johnson got single
coverage all-night including the game winning ally-oop with
11 seconds remaining. That is inexcusable and is the type
of loss that could send Clemson’s season careening into
the trash heap.
Bowden’s dad paid again for his mediocre field goal
kicking. Leading 10-3 with 90 seconds to play, the Noles looked
to salt the game away with a 35-yard FG, but those FSU kicking
woes resurfaced again versus the Canes and the kick was blocked.
Miami promptly drove the field to tie it and quickly won it
in OT 16-10 for an unlikely win and cover. That’s now
six straight losses SU to the boys from South Beach. Chris
Rix, possible the most overrated player in college football,
becomes the first QB to ever lose to an opponent five times.
As a 5th year senior and 4-year starter, Rix continues to
make mistakes you wouldn’t see a sophomore make. Throwing
off his back foot, into double and triple coverage. He threw
2 picks and lost 2 fumbles alone against Miami. Hardly the
stuff of a Heisman hopeful. The guy just is not that good.
On the other hand, how about the start for Purdue trigger
man Kyle Orton. Orton has lit up the scoreboard for 9 TD’s
in the first 2 weeks including 5 on 329 yards passing in just
over a half this past weekend against Ball State.
What a tough week for the top dogs in the Big-12 North this
past weekend. Missouri loses to Troy, Nebraska loses in Lincoln
for just the 7th time since 1988 to Southern Miss and Kansas
State gets ripped by Fresno St., just the 2nd non-conference
loss for the Wildcats at home since 1990. It wasn't exactly
the Ivy League when Fresno State blew out Kansas State on
Saturday. I wonder what the average SAT score was of the players
in that game was. Western observers report that Fresno's roster
is made up of guys who couldn't get into Pac Ten schools,
quite an indictment when you realize that Oregon State is
in the Pac Ten.
But let’s give a hand to the on-field performance by
Fresno. The Bulldogs may be the most impressive team so far
this year with road wins at Washington and Kansas State –
raising their win total since 2000 against BCS teams to a
nation high nine. KSU coach Snyder said after that game that
he’d never seen his team physically dominated the way
they were by Fresno, which is quite a statement when you consider
the shape that the Wildcats were in when Snyder arrived a
decade and a half ago. Kansas State should get healthy as
they get right back to the hyphen schools as part of their
laughable non-conference schedule. Lou-Lafayette visits Manhattan
as more than a 30-point dog. However, when they win SU after
a loss, K. State usually wins BIG. The Cats are 28-4 ATS in
that spot over the years and since 1999 have followed up losses
with wins that average more than 40 pts. The Ragin’
Cajuns were physically dominated at the line of scrimmage
by Louisiana Tech last week and have only one returning starter
on their defensive front seven. The Wildcats have done a bunch
of shuffling of their offensive line’s depth chart this
week, but should be able to hammer Lafayette.
Other campus notes: Following their loss to Utah this weekend,
Arizona is now 1-17 since 2000 against ranked teams, but showed
some backbone and enthusiasm in their first such outing under
new coach Stoops. # 21 Wisconsin comes calling Saturday at
‘zona. Ohio State just seems to keep finding ways to
get it done in tight games. With a 54-yard FG as time expired
to beat Marshall this past weekend, the Buckeyes have now
won 13 of the last 14 decided by less than 7 pts. OSU is less
than a FG pick at N.C. State this weekend How about the road
mastery of Georgia head man Mark Richt. The Dogs have now
won 13 of 14 SU on the highway since Richt took over in 2001
after holding off South Carolina this weekend. However, look
for UGA to perhaps be looking ahead to their October 2nd matchup
with LSU this Saturday when Marshall invades Athens. Under
Richt, Georgia is just 2-5 ATS in non-conference home games.
The Dogs are nearly a 3 TD favorite against the Herd.
A couple of web sites for you to check out. You can read
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and/or sign up to receive it by email.
There are also a number of important articles about the offshore
sports book world at ConsumerBet, so be sure to check those
out. Also, I’ve teamed up with four excellent handicappers
to provide selections at www.vegas5.com,
check out the web site to see how uncanny we’ve all
been in college football.
Your “stat of the week” is from the NFL. Tennessee
threw a grand total of 2 passes in the entire 2nd half in
their sleep-inducing 17-7 win at Miami. Not sure if that is
a product of great pass D by the Fins or the Titans knowing
that Miami had basically no prayer of moving the ball themselves.
The Dolphins offense should continue to struggle all year
as Ricky Williams sits at home engulfed in a cloud of ganja
smoke. Even with Sir Smoke-A-Lot last season, Miami still
only put up a paltry 19 pts/game. They should struggle to
get that high in 2004.
Lets send a big shout out to Steve Mariucci and the Lions.
Detroit busted up a 24 game road losing skid this weekend
with a 20-16 triumph over the Bears. Despite the crucial loss
for the year to wide-out Charles Rogers, Detroit has plenty
of weapons offensively including QB Joey Harrington who looks
to come into his own in campaign # 3. The Defense is much
improved and they have terrific special teams. Matt Millen
may have finally figured things out.
The Falcons and Rams square off this Sunday at The Georgia
Dome with both teams coming in 1-0, but neither looking very
good in the opener. The Birds are a slight favorite, which
should raise a red flag. St. Louis has owned Atlanta of late
winning 7 in a row SU dating back to 1999 and besting the
number in 6 of those 7. Some by very large margins. On the
other hand, the Falcons have covered just twice in the last
13 tries at home off of a straight up win and hold a brutal
2-9-2 ATS mark off of a SU win of less than 3 points. Mike
Vick is on the cover of Sports Illustrated this week. The
folks at SI must have been impressed with Vick’s 2 for
11 3rd down conversion rate last week.
Perhaps no team in the NFL looked worse in week 1 than Baltimore.
The Ravens were dominated by Cleveland 20-3 and never really
threatened offensively. Listening to portions of the game,
I thought the national radio broadcast was rather poorly executed,
then the announcers explained that they were in the corner
of the end zone. Usually nothing is more annoying than media
members complaining about their seats, but you would think
a play-by-play team would rate space between the 40’s.
Despite Super Bowl aspirations, Kansas City’s defense
was its achilles heel yet again in their 34-24 loss to Denver
in the opener. The Chiefs may have changed defensive coordinators
but the personnel, and the results, remain the same. The Broncos
piled up more than 400 total yards including 202 on the ground.
K.C. is 18-3-1 against the number in its last 22 home openers
and are 11-3 ATS their last 14 in September following a loss.
Of course, the Panthers played pretty well from the line of
scrimmage Monday night, but turnovers hurt them, with some
of the turnovers seemingly resulting from some Packer defensive
schemes that the Panthers were relatively unprepared for.
The Panthers lost top WR Steve Smith to a broken leg so their
offense could sputter again and play right into the Chiefs
hands.
We lost that Monday night game, but the good news is that
it was our only loss of the season thus far on our late phone
service. We’re 7-1-1 against the spread and all our
underdogs have won outright, leading to some juicy money line
payouts for our followers. A good place to follow along with
how we’re doing is on our free hotline at 1-770-649-1078.
Thanks for taking the time to read this. Good luck and be
careful.
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